MIDDLETOWN, Pa. — Sandy Sinkovich, a retired X-ray technician, was a registered Republican until she switched parties during the Obama years. She plans to vote a straight Democratic ticket in the midterms. President Trump, she said, has “done nothing but destroy our country.” Dave Sweeney, who services juice machines, registered as a Republican in 2016 after years of being a Democrat so he could vote for Mr. Trump in the primary. He is concerned about the migrant caravan and plans to vote party-line Republican. “No, I’m not racist if I think you should work for welfare, you should work for food stamps,” Mr. Sweeney said. Few states have reflected the changing political allegiances of the Trump era more than Pennsylvania, which was the most populous of the trifecta of Rust Belt states that Mr. Trump flipped in 2016. Along the way, Republicans claimed 13 of Pennsylvania’s 18 House seats. Now, two years later, the wheel is turning again. Because of weak Republican candidates at the top of the state ticket and redrawn congressional districts, Democrats are positioned for gains — maybe big ones — in Pennsylvania on Tuesday, including three or more women who could crash the state’s all-male House delegation. The shooting of 11 people at a Pittsburgh synagogue on Saturday divided Pennsylvanians, as it did Americans, on whether President Trump’s fiery anti-immigration rhetoric may have fed into the violence. But in an election season when partisan attitudes were already well set, it is unclear whether the shooting would affect many votes. Congressional races around Pittsburgh are more settled than tossup districts elsewhere. “I think this is not primarily a political issue, and I don’t think voters are thinking about it as a political issue,’’ said Mark Harris a Republican strategist based in Pittsburgh. “I know everyone is as outraged about what’s happened; it doesn’t matter if you’re a Republican or a Democrat.” Looming just over the horizon: Democratic hopes that this year provides a reset, and Pennsylvania returns in 2020 to its alignment as a dependable blue
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