Less than three weeks until Election Day, voters are thinking most about health care, the economy, and reining in President Trump — and Democratic candidates are benefitting. Currently, 49 percent of likely voters back the Democratic candidate in their House district and 42 percent the Republican, according to a new Fox News national survey. That 7-point lead is unchanged from last month, and just outside the poll’s margin of error. Nine percent will vote for someone else or are undecided. “If the election were today, the House would most likely flip,” says Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who conducts the poll with Democrat Chris Anderson. “Republicans keep waiting for the national numbers to tighten, but they have been remarkably stable this campaign season.” CLICK HERE TO READ THE POLL RESULTS Here’s how we get there: — Top issue: Health care. While majorities of likely voters say the economy (54 percent) and President Trump (51 percent) will be “extremely” important to their House vote, more voters feel that way about health care (58 percent) — and that group prefers the Democratic candidate by a 24-point margin. Meanwhile, a majority disapproves of how Trump is handling health care. — Guardrails for Trump. By a 53-41 percent margin, likely voters say having the next Congress be a check on the president is more important than helping Trump enact his policies. In counties where the 2016 vote was close (Hillary Clinton and Trump within 10 points), a majority of 56 percent want a check on Trump, and Democrats lead the generic ballot in these counties by 12 points. — Trump job performance. The president’s job rating is underwate
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