More than any other state, President Trump has staked his reputation and his political clout on Florida, a state with one of his most prominent political acolytes running for governor, the place where he spends perhaps more time than anywhere else outside of the White House, and a state he’ll return to twice this week in an effort to stave off an embarrassing loss. But beset by natural disasters, alleged bombmakers, and a race-inflected campaign, Florida is at risk of becoming a problem for Republicans that could have implications that reach far beyond the election taking place in seven days. In both high-profile races, for governor and for U.S. Senate, Democrats have maintained a narrow lead. Between Trump’s visits — first on Wednesday for a rally in Fort Myers, and then on Saturday in Pensacola — former president Barack Obama will stump in Miami on Friday, trying to pull out the young and minority voters Democratic candidates need. In what amounts to a test run for the 2020 campaign, both parties are pouring money into the state and testing the strength of Trump’s standing in a place that he won in 2016 by just 1.2 percentage points. But with the president saddled with a low approval rating — a Gallup survey on Monday saw a net rating decrease of eight points over the past week — Trump’s last-minute push in Florida could prove to be a gamble. The already heightened atmosphere has only grown more tense in the days after Cesar Sayoc was arrested in Plantation, Fla., and charged with sending pipe bombs to more than a dozen Democrats who have been repeatedly targeted for criticism by Trump. “The tonal quality of it is one more reminder to those suburban Republican women why they left the Republican Party,” said Rick Wilson, a longtime Florida-based GOP consultant and a Trump critic. The danger for Republicans is that recent events remind those voters, he said, that “they don’t want to be asso
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